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顯示從 7月, 2022 起發佈的文章

Be Vigilant to Money-Making Bloggers, YouTubers and Facebookers

I have already written many articles regarding those forecasters, who claim that they had ' accurate ' forecasts in the past, you should pay special attention to. In particular to those who use their blog posts, YouTube channels or Facebook pages for money making purpose.  Look! Those who claimed that the stock market would be rising with the inflation rate, where are they now? Where have they gone? Listen to what they said then and what they are saying now. You can check it out yourself by tracking their words... < 經濟學家論 | 利息上升, 股市會上升? >  Or, some will tell you that they have some great tips for how to purchase UK houses at a below market price at some up-and-coming postcode areas. Don't forget, they tell you so is for a reason, just as they set up their FB pages, YouTube channels is for a reason, which is - money - all about money! Such overseas property investment businesses have been blooming on FB. Some of them will convince you to take their courses (some are on

第三層思維模型: 從凱因斯選美看估值

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Benjamin Graham  將股票投資比喻為投票機器,而凱因斯  John Maynard Keynes  則將股票投資比喻為選美投票。 凱因斯選美 某遊戲:選美投票人要從 100 張照片中挑選最美的 6 位,而選出的最接近平均的便可得獎。 凱因斯說:「這時候,投票人選的不是自己認為最美的 6 位,而是選擇其他投票人最有可能認為是最美的 6 位。因為每個人想法不一,問題不在於你的最佳判斷(不是你自己認為哪 6 位是最美),也不是普羅大眾一般認為哪 6 位是最美,而是在於 預測平均的其他 投票 人的平均預測 (即: 預測 , 其他 投票 人預測的平均預測結果的平均 )。」這是 第三層思考 。